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IMF Sees China and India Driving 44% of Global Growth in 2026

IMF Sees China and India Driving 44% of Global Growth in 2026

Billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk said that the balance of power is changing. He shared a chart on X, originally posted by World of Statistics. The chart shows the top 10 contributors to global real GDP growth in 2026, based on projections from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

The graphic, which circulated widely on social media, ranks China and India as the top contributors to global growth for the upcoming year. China is set to contribute 26.6 %, while India expected to add 17.0 % of all additional real GDP produced worldwide.

China and India experience 44% global growth as per IMF

Together, they account for nearly 44 % of the expected global growth, surpassing the combined contributions of most advanced economies. After China and India, the United States ranks third with 9.9 %. Other emerging markets like Indonesia, Türkiye, and Nigeria featured in the lower half of the top 10.

Elon Musk reposted the graphic on X and wrote, “The balance of power is changing.”

In its January 2026 global economy report, the IMF projected global growth at 3.3 % for 2026 and 3.2 % for 2027, slightly revised up from the October 2025 World Economic Outlook.

Will global inflation rate declines?

They expect global inflation to decline, while US inflation gradually return to its target. The IMF identified key downside risks, including a reevaluation of technology expectations and rising geopolitical tensions.

According to the IMF, risks to the outlook remain skewed to the downside. A report of productivity growth expectations regarding AI lead to lower investment. This may result in a sudden financial market correction, affecting AI-linked companies as well as other sectors, and diminishing household wealth.

Read also: Union Budget 2026: India’s Defence Budget Increased to ₹7.85 Lakh Crore, Capex hit ₹2.31 Lakh Crore

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